Saturday, August 13, 2016

Lost in space: The search for alien life has been unsuccessful — maybe we’re just going about it wrong


NASA does not often crack jokes about aliens, but its recent announcement that a satellite camera had found “Martian Morse code” in the shape of sand dunes on the Red Planet’s surface inspired much mirth among space scientists.
Nathalie Cabrol, director of the Carl Sagan Center at the SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) Institute, which searches for alien messages, laughed out loud at the thought.

“Tell me about it,” she said sarcastically.
If only contact with aliens, if they exist, were so simple. This was just dirt shaped by wind, as NASA itself eventually conceded. Just as the wealthy American polymath astronomer Percival Lowell did not actually see canals on Mars in 1906, so too is this latest bit of Martian clickbait a figment of a rich human imagination, reflecting our desire to find patterns in chaos. But it is also revealing of a deep philosophical problem in the search for extraterrestrial intelligence, an all-or-nothing scientific gamble that is now at a crisis point.

The problem, as Cabrol describes it in a provocative new research paper, is that human scientists have only ever looked for other versions of themselves.
By scanning the heavens for the same sort of messages we ourselves sent out in the 1970s — from the Arecibo radio transmission with encoded details of arithmetic and chemistry to the engraved plaques launched on Pioneer with rudimentary sketches of a man and woman, and the Voyager golden record with music by Mozart and Chuck Berry — we have, basically, been searching blind.

NASA
NASAMartian sand dunes form a dot and dash formation that could represent Morse code. Well, not really.
Despite a century of major scientific progress in everything from biology and evolution to physics and planet formation, we still imagine extraterrestrial life forms as H.G. Wells did at the turn of the 20th century, as quaint foreigners, either friendly or threatening, but fundamentally similar.
“It is not a mistake. This is where we had to start,” said Cabrol, an astrobiologist and planetary geologist with a background in environmental science and the development of Mars rovers. “But we should not stay constrained or confined to that.”

“To find aliens, we must become the aliens,” she said. To that end, she described the tactical change she wants to make to the basic approach of research at SETI, which applies scientific rigour to a question — the possibility of life on other planets — that is more commonly associated with sweaty conspiracy theorists and flaky fantasists.
She described SETI’s current main strategy of looking for non-natural patterns in electromagnetic signals from other Earth-like planets as a “shot in the dark.”
“You don’t know exactly what you are looking for, or even if you found something, because you cannot recognize it,” she said.
Handout/The SETI Institute
Handout/The SETI InstituteNathalie Cabrol, director of the Carl Sagan Center at the SETI Institute: “To find aliens, we must become the aliens.”
Her solution is to take “a step upstream,” to broaden the perspective on what it might mean for intelligent life to have arisen somewhere else, and to unite the various scientific disciplines that might contribute, from mathematics and evolution to neuroscience and geology.
She said the response has been enthusiastic. One criticism has come from intelligent design theorists, who believe humans were created supernaturally, not by natural physical and evolutionary processes. They conclude from this that we are probably unique in the universe.
An editorial by the Discovery Institute on Cabrol’s idea, for example, compares SETI researchers to cultish fanatics searching for ghosts, who “refuse to take non-detection as an answer … Despite continued failures, SETI is unlikely to cave anytime soon. Its motivations are too deeply grounded in evolutionary ideology. The believers think it too incredible to imagine humans as unique or exceptional in such a vast universe. To be sure, this ‘gut feeling’ extends outside evolutionary circles. But where is the evidence?”
The positive responses have generated the most excitement. For example Rene Heller, an astrophysicist at the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research in Germany, recently of McMaster University, has proposed a strategy in line with Cabrol’s interdisciplinary thinking. His idea is that, because we often detect Earth-like planets by observing them pass in front of their own stars, we should assume aliens would find us in the same way. For SETI, that means looking for signals in the thin band of the cosmos called Earth’s Transit Zone, the area from which Earth can be seen passing in front of the Sun, which is only about one-thousandth of the entire sky.
Likewise, Seth Shostak, a senior astronomer with SETI, has proposed using telescopes to look for “biosignatures,” such as oxygen, in the atmospheres of distant Earth-like planets, by analyzing the light they reflect. On this theory, the oxygen content of Earth has been advertising the presence of life here for millions of years. Oxygen is simply a byproduct of photosynthesis, not a sign of intelligent life, but as he put it, “if other worlds can spawn lettuce or maybe just algae, there’s at least some chance that they could also grow something a little more interesting.”
Cabrol’s key point is that Earth bears the cumulative physical effects of all life that ever existed here, and so would any life-bearing alien planet. As she sees it, the only way to investigate that properly is to imagine all the other kinds of ways life might disrupt a planet and its atmosphere. And that takes more kinds of scientists than just radio astronomers and satellite technicians.
“I’m going to go back to my French background here,” Cabrol said. “We had many different Gaul villages all over the place, and the only time we beat Caesar is when they all came together … In the 15 years that I’ve been doing this, I saw how powerful synergies and bridges between disciplines are.”
Seth Shostak, SETI
Seth Shostak, SETISETI’s current main strategy of looking for non-natural patterns in electromagnetic signals from other Earth-like planets is described as a “shot in the dark.”
This proposal is comparable to the dynamic in other scientific fields probing major mysteries, such as climate change or consciousness. After decades of ever greater specialization, the leaders in the diverse strands of these inquiries are finding it harder to talk to each other, and so the intellectual energy — not to mention the funding — has shifted to the synergistic integration of disciplines, in projects such as Barack Obama’s BRAIN Initiative. That collaborative research project is pursing technologies to further understanding of brain function.
For SETI, part of the problem is radio astronomers who do not know much about the origins of life, or astrobiologists who do not understand general relativity.
If there are messages out there, the fear is we are failing to recognize them, either because we cannot recognize them, or we are not looking in the right way.
Part of the solution is, like in brain science, major funding pushes. Earlier this year, the Russian venture capitalist Yuri Milner announced a doubling of his $100-million contribution to SETI projects.
The other part is philosophical, a return to first principles. Like the best science, the search for alien life eventually runs up against a deep philosophical question — what is life in the first place?

Donald Trump’s support driven by economic worries, but not for reasons he thinks, massive survey finds


Economic distress and anxiety across working-class white America have become a widely discussed explanation for the success of Donald Trump. It seems to make sense. Trump’s most fervent supporters tend to be white men without college degrees. This same group has suffered economically in our increasingly globalized world, as machines have replaced workers in factories and labor has shifted overseas. Trump has promised to curtail trade and other perceived threats to American workers, including immigrants.

Yet a major new analysis from Gallup, based on 87,000 interviews the polling company conducted over the past year, suggests this narrative is not complete. While there does seem to be a relationship between economic anxiety and Trump’s appeal, the straightforward connection that many observers have assumed does not appear in the data.
According to this new analysis, those who view Trump favorably have not been disproportionately affected by foreign trade or immigration, compared with people with unfavorable views of the Republican presidential nominee. The results suggest that his supporters, on average, do not have lower incomes than other Americans, nor are they more likely to be unemployed.
Yet while Trump’s supporters might be comparatively well off themselves, they come from places where their neighbors endure other forms of hardship. In their communities, white residents are dying younger, and it is harder for young people who grow up poor to get ahead.
The Gallup analysis is the most comprehensive statistical profile of Trump’s supporters so far. Jonathan Rothwell, the economist at Gallup who conducted the analysis, sorted the respondents by their Zip code and then compared those findings with a host of other data from a variety of sources. After statistically controlling factors such as education, age and gender, Rothwell was able to determine which traits distinguished those who favored Trump from those who did not, even among people who appeared to be similar in other respects.

Rothwell’s research includes far more data than past statistical studies of Trump. It also provides a detailed view not only of the people who support him but also of the places where they live. Academics and other analysts will continue to study the Trump phenomenon in months and years to come, and may, of course, reach different explanations.

This research leaves some mysteries unsolved. Something is afflicting the places where Trump’s supporters live, but Trump’s supporters do not exhibit more severe economic distress than do those who view him unfavorably. Perhaps, Rothwell suggests, Trump’s supporters are concerned less about themselves than about how the community’s children are faring. Whatever it is, competition from migrant labor or the decline of factory work appear to be inadequate explanations.
Trump is giving his supporters a misleading account of their ills, Rothwell said. “He says they are suffering because of globalization,” Rothwell said. “He says they’re suffering because of immigration and a diversifying country, but I can’t find any evidence of that.”

Trump’s support does come from a place of adversity, though, and Rothwell said Trump’s prescriptions – tariffs on imported goods, restrictions on immigration and mass deportation – seem disconnected from his voters’ real problems.
“I don’t see how any of those things would help with their health problems, with the lack of intergenerational mobility,” Rothwell said.
Five findings in particular from Rothwell’s work are noteworthy: those related to economic factors such as income, manufacturing and opportunity, as well as his conclusions about health and racial diversity.

Friday, August 12, 2016

Thursday, August 11, 2016

Lone suspect dead after anti-terror operation in Ontario town


STRATHROY, Ont. — A suspect whom police feared planned to set off a bomb in a major Canadian city was killed Wednesday by police in a Strathroy home.
More details about what the RCMP describe as a “potential terrorism threat” and a possible link to a heavy police presence in a northwest London neighbourhood are expected to be revealed at a news conference Thursday.

The suspect was identified as Aaron Driver. He was originally from Winnipeg and in his mid 20s. A supporter of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, he was the subject of a peace bond after he was detained by RCMP in Winnipeg in June 20
The bond stated there are “reasonable grounds to fear that he may participate, contribute directly or indirectly in the activity of a terrorist group.”

Driver was living in Strathroy. a community of about 20,000 about 40 kilometres west of London.
Driver had detonated a device that injured him and another person, his family said. He had another device that he was going to detonate, which is why police shot him.
In June 2015 in Winnipeg, RCMP sought a peace bond against Driver, also known as Harun Abdurahman, on the grounds he would “participate in or contribute to a terrorist group.”
He had been accused of posting jihadist propaganda on social media sites, some of it supportive of ISIL. Driver eventually agreed to the peace bond but did not face criminal charges.
“I wasn’t too surprised that Harun would face more law enforcement action at some point. He had been warned in the past about his posts,” Prof. Amarnath Amarasingam, who has been studying Canadian foreign fighters for a major research project told the National Post’s Stewart Bell at the time.

“Instead of scaling back his activity, he only became more entrenched in the online network, had multiple backup accounts from which to tweet from in case one got suspended, and never really slowed down.”
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Geoff Robins
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Geoff RobinsPolice keep watch around a house in Strathroy, Ont., on Wednesday.
Public Safety Minister Ralph Goodale issued a statement Thursday night about the RCMP operation.
“With respect to the police and security actions taken in Canada today, I have discussed the situation with the prime minister to confirm that public safety has been and continues to be properly protected,” Goodale said.

“Earlier today, the RCMP received credible information regarding a potential terrorist threat and took action to ensure public safety.”
The RCMP issued a statement about the same time images of police officers and vehicles in Strathroy started circulating on Twitter.
“A suspect was identified and the proper course of action has been taken to ensure that there is no danger to the public’s safety,” the RCMP said.

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

Apple Inc’s new iPhone said to include dual-camera system, pressure-sensitive home button


Apple Inc. is preparing to unveil successors to the iPhone 6S and iPhone 6S Plus as early as next month with more advanced photography capabilities and upgraded hardware in a design similar to that of last year’s models, according to people familiar with the matter.

The standout features will be a dual-camera system on the larger iPhone, a re-engineered home button that responds to pressure with haptic feedback and the removal of the devices’ headphone jack, said the people, who didn’t want to be identified discussing unannounced features. Apple declined to comment.

While iPhone demand has waned in recent quarters, partly due to the lull between product launches, the device continues to be the major source of Apple’s revenue. The new models will be critical to the holiday quarter, and Apple is counting on the phones to prop up sales ahead of an expected iPhone overhaul in 2017, the device’s 10th anniversary.

Apple Inc said to plan first MacBook Pro overhaul in four years with touch-screen keys, fingerprint sensors


Apple Inc. is preparing the first significant overhaul of its MacBook Pro laptop line in over four years, according to people familiar with the matter, using one of its older products to help reverse two quarters of sliding sales.

The updated notebooks will be thinner, include a touch screen strip for function keys, and will be offered with more powerful and efficient graphics processors for expert users such as video gamers, said the people, who asked not to be named.

The new computers have been in advanced testing within Apple since earlier this year, said one of the people, who didn’t want to be identified discussing products before their release. The MacBook Pros aren’t likely to debut at an event currently scheduled for Sept. 7 to introduce next-generation versions of the iPhone, according to one of the people. Apple spokesman Bill Evans declined to comment.

Apple co-founder Steve Jobs heralded tablets as possible laptop replacements by calling the iPad a “post-PC” device after it launched in 2010, but products like the MacBook Pro have shown surprising resilience. Sales of Macs, including the Pro line, rose 6 per cent to US$25.5 billion in the last fiscal year, while iPad sales fell 23 per cent to US$23.2 billion.

U.S. approves $1.15 billion sale of Abrams battle tanks, armored vehicles to Saudi Arabia


WASHINGTON — The U.S. State Department has approved the potential sale of more than 130 Abrams battle tanks, 20 armoured recovery vehicles and other equipment, worth about $1.15 billion, to Saudi Arabia, the Pentagon said on Tuesday.

The approval for land force equipment coincides with Saudi Arabia leading a military coalition in support of Yemeni forces loyal to the exiled government of President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi who are trying to oust Iran-allied Houthi forces from the capital, Sanaa. Human rights groups have criticized the coalition’s air strikes because of the deaths of civilians.

The U.S. Defense Security Cooperation Agency, which implements foreign arms sales, said that General Dynamics will be the principal contractor for the sale.
“This sale will increase the Royal Saudi Land Force’s (RSLF) interoperability with U.S. forces and conveys U.S. commitment to Saudi Arabia’s security and armed forces modernization,” the agency said in a notice to lawmakers posted on its website.

Kansas boy, 10, was decapitated during ‘insane’ ride on world’s tallest waterslide, source says



KANSAS CITY, Kan. — A 10-year-old boy was decapitated as he rode a 51-metre tall waterslide at a water park in Kansas, a person familiar with the investigation said Wednesday.
The person, who is not authorized to speak about the boy’s death, told The Associated Press that Caleb Schwab was decapitated Sunday on the “Verruckt” raft ride at the Schlitterbahn WaterPark in Kansas City, Kansas Caleb, the son of a Kansas lawmaker, was in a raft with two women who were not related to him when he was killed on the ride, which is certified by Guinness World Records as the tallest in the world. The women were treated for facial injuries.
A spokeswoman for the waterpark on Wednesday declined to discuss the circumstances of Caleb’s death.


At least two people who recently rode on “Verruckt” — German for “insane” — have said nylon shoulder straps came loose during the ride. It’s unclear whether the straps played any role in Caleb’s death. Police and Schlitterbahn have not provided any other details.
The park said Tuesday that “a limited portion” of the park would reopen Wednesday, but that “Verruckt” will be closed for the rest of the season.
“Verruckt” riders sit in multi-person rafts that begin with a steep drop, followed by a surge up a second hill before a 50-foot descent to a finishing pool. Each “Verruckt” rider must be at least 54 inches tall, and the combined body weight of the riders on each raft is limited to 400 to 550 pounds.
Riders are harnessed in with two nylon seatbelt-like straps — one that crosses the rider’s lap, the other stretching diagonally like a car shoulder seatbelt. Each strap is held in place by long Velcro-style straps, not by buckles. Riders also hang on to ropes inside the raft.
Ken Martin, a Richmond, Virginia-based amusement park safety consultant, questioned whether the straps were appropriate, suggesting that a more solid restraint system that fits over the body — similar to those used in roller coasters — may have been better.

Muslim flight attendant suing ExpressJet for wrongly suspending her after she refused to serve alcohol


DETROIT — A Muslim flight attendant has sued ExpressJet, accusing the airline of wrongly suspending her because she refused to serve alcohol to passengers.

The Council on American-Islamic Relations’ Michigan chapter announced Tuesday it filed the lawsuit last week on behalf of Charee Stanley, a Detroit-based flight attendant for the airline headquartered in Atlanta.
The federal court case follows a discrimination complaint filed last year with the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, which dismissed it without determining whether the airline violated the law.

Stanley alleges ExpressJet didn’t provide a reasonable religious accommodation and seeks back pay and other damages. She was placed on unpaid leave last summer.
ExpressJet said in a statement that it values diversity but cannot comment on specific personnel matters or ongoing litigation.

US election: Trump blames media for 'gun threat' row


Republican Donald Trump has blamed the media after being accused of urging supporters to kill his Democratic rival for the White House, Hillary Clinton.

He told Fox News "dishonest" reporters had twisted his remarks, which appeared to suggest that gun rights advocates could stop Mrs Clinton if elected.
The businessman-turned-politician denied incitement and said he was exhorting his supporters to vote.

The comments on Tuesday afternoon sparked a firestorm of criticism.
Some interpreted his comments as a dark suggestion that gun owners could take up arms against Mrs Clinton, while others said they were at the very least irresponsible remarks that could have violent consequences.
The highest-ranked Republican, House Speaker Paul Ryan, said it was an inappropriate joke.
And Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren said it was a death threat by a "pathetic coward" who was sore because he was trailing in the polls to a woman.

Tuesday, August 9, 2016

Monday, August 8, 2016